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Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
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AI Match Summary

Novorizontino U20 play Velo Clube U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Novorizontino U20 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Velo Clube U20 averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Novorizontino U20 won 2, Velo Clube U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.26 for Novorizontino U20 and 0.96 for Velo Clube U20. This points to a Novorizontino U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Novorizontino U20
11%
Draws
9%
Velo Clube U20
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Novorizontino U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Velo Clube U20.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Novorizontino U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista U20 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Velo Clube U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino U20 Velo Clube U20
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista U20
Novorizontino U20 vs Velo Clube U20
4:0
Jul 18, 2025 Paulista U20
Velo Clube U20 vs Novorizontino U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Geres M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Alemao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Velo Clube U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino U20 76 / 100
Velo Clube U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino U20 Velo Clube U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino U20 scored in 84% of their last 37 games.

Velo Clube U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Novorizontino U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Velo Clube U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino U20 VS Velo Clube U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria U20541010:113
2Corinthians U2054106:013
3CA Juventus U20540115:512
4Santos U20532010:011
5Portuguesa U2052127:67
6Ponte Preta U2052125:67
7Portuguesa Santista U2052129:117
8Sertaozinho U2052123:57
9Jabaquara U2052033:46
10Sao Bento U2051135:74
11Uniao Suzano U2051134:134
12Itapirense U2051046:113
13America SP U2051041:103
14Mirassol U2050234:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20550015:215
2Sao Paulo U20541010:113
3Osasco Sporting U2054019:612
4Desportivo U2054016:312
5Aguai U2062227:118
6Santo Andre U2062138:87
7Uniao Sao Joao U2061325:56
8Paulinense U2061326:86
9Novorizontino U2051227:65
10EC Sao Bernardo U2051225:95
11Sao Caetano U2061147:124
12Bandeirante U2061144:104
13Botafogo SP U2050415:64
14Piracicaba U2050414:64
15Velo Clube U2060424:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20550019:515
2Agua Santa U20742114:714
3Palmeiras U20541011:213
4Guarani U2054019:512
5Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
6Sfera U20630314:69
7Osasco Audax U2062226:58
8XV de Jau U2062135:137
9Capivariano U2061417:87
10Flamengo SP U2062045:126
11Ituano U2051316:86
12Tanabi U2061237:115
13Maua FC U2061234:115
14Referencia U2050144:111
15Porto Football U2060150:81