Sport Picks
Novorizontino vs America MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte 
Match Events
17'
17'
Jesus P.
23'
23'
Patrick
Assist: Mathias de Almeida D. M.
33'
33'
Manoel
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Novorizontino and America MG finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novorizontino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- America MG haven't matched Novorizontino's recent run of results.
- Novorizontino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
America MG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novorizontino | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs America MG
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Novorizontino
0:3
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs America MG
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Novorizontino
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs America MG
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
America MG Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novorizontino 95 / 100
America MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novorizontino America MG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America MG has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: America MG has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Novorizontino scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Novorizontino VS America MG
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Novorizontino
(Home) 08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
America MG
(Away) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1 America MG
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
20 Aug
Novorizontino
3 : 0 America MG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
