Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Corinthians

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Novorizontino Logo

Novorizontino

1 - 0
FT
Corinthians Logo

Corinthians

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Matheuzinho
33'
Matheus Bianqui
43'
Allan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Novorizontino
20%
Draws
46%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corinthians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Very High Confidence
  • Corinthians haven't matched Novorizontino's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Novorizontino taking it.
  • Novorizontino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Corinthians
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Corinthians
1:0
May 22, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Corinthians vs Novorizontino
1:0
May 1, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Novorizontino vs Corinthians
0:1
Feb 4, 2025 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Corinthians
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Paulista
Corinthians vs Novorizontino
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayk
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Corinthians Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 68 / 100
Corinthians 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Corinthians conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Novorizontino went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Corinthians
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Novorizontino
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
04 Jul
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Atletico GO
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians

(Away)
06 Aug
Corinthians
2 : 1
Internacional
02 Aug
Internacional
2 : 0
Corinthians
30 Jul
Corinthians
0 : 0
Athletico-PR
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1
Corinthians
23 Jul
Corinthians
3 : 0
Remo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Novorizontino 2
Santos 1
Portuguesa 1
Corinthians 2
Palmeiras 4
Capivariano 0
Bragantino 1
Sao Paulo 2
Semi-finals
Novorizontino 1
Corinthians 0
Palmeiras 2
Sao Paulo 1
Final
Novorizontino 1
Palmeiras 3