Sport Picks
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte 
Match Events
45'
45'
Luciano Castan
46'
46'
Sub
De Sena Araujo F. M. In: Caue Santos
Out: De Sena Araujo F. M.
56'
56'
Luis Oyama
AI Match Summary
Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novorizontino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Novorizontino have won more games recently than Criciuma.
- Win probability leans Novorizontino's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novorizontino | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Novorizontino
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
2:0
Jul 22, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Novorizontino
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novorizontino Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Criciuma Compare
Top Goalscorer Diego Goncalves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novorizontino 95 / 100
Criciuma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novorizontino Criciuma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novorizontino's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Criciuma let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Novorizontino stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Novorizontino VS Criciuma
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Novorizontino
(Home) 18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
20 Aug
Novorizontino
3 : 0 America MG
09 Aug
Novorizontino
0 : 1 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 3
Criciuma
(Away) 22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Criciuma
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 14 | Nautico | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
