Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Luciano Castan
46'
Sub
De Sena Araujo F. M. In: Caue Santos
Out: De Sena Araujo F. M.
56'
Luis Oyama

AI Match Summary

Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Novorizontino
33%
Draws
40%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Novorizontino.
  • Win probability leans Criciuma's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 20%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Criciuma
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Novorizontino
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Criciuma
2:0
Jul 22, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Novorizontino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Goncalves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 28 / 100
Criciuma 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novorizontino's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Criciuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Novorizontino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Criciuma
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Novorizontino
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
04 Jul
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Atletico GO
26 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 7

Criciuma

(Away)
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
27 Jun
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma19116223:1239
2Operario-PR19105427:2235
3Vila Nova FC19104527:2234
4EC Juventude1995521:1232
5Fortaleza1994622:1931
6Novorizontino1986528:1830
7Goias1985621:2529
8Atletico GO1977520:1928
9Sport Recife19610324:1828
10Sao Bernardo1976625:1927
11Athletic Club1969418:1727
12CRB1975729:3226
13Nautico1973924:2424
14Botafogo SP1966724:2024
15Cuiaba1959514:1424
16Londrina1955926:2720
17Avai1955921:2620
18Ceara1947816:2219
19Ponte Preta19221514:388
20America MG19151313:318
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)