Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novorizontino vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Vitor Mendes
Assist: Igor Inocencio
36'
Raul
37' Event
Romulo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Novorizontino and Cuiaba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Novorizontino
20%
Draws
35%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Cuiaba on wins alone.
  • Novorizontino are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novorizontino Cuiaba
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Cuiaba
1:1
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Novorizontino
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Novorizontino
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Cuiaba
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novorizontino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Mendes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novorizontino 77 / 100
Cuiaba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novorizontino Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Novorizontino remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Novorizontino scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Cuiaba conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Novorizontino VS Cuiaba
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novorizontino

(Home)
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Sport Recife
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4
Novorizontino
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Cuiaba

(Away)
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
3 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
11 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
12 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
13 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)