Sport Picks
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte 
Match Events
30'
30'
Jhones
31'
31'
Junior Urso
33'
33'
Sub
Esquerdinha In: Geres M.
Out: Esquerdinha
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Novorizontino carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Novorizontino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Novorizontino, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novorizontino | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo
0:0
May 31, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Novorizontino
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Paulista
Novorizontino vs Sao Bernardo
2:1
Feb 6, 2025 Paulista
Sao Bernardo vs Novorizontino
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Hector Bianchi
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sao Bernardo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novorizontino 32 / 100
Sao Bernardo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novorizontino Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novorizontino's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sao Bernardo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Novorizontino stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Novorizontino VS Sao Bernardo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Novorizontino
(Home) 02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
Sao Bernardo
(Away) 06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | SER Caxias do Sul | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Tombense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 5 |
| 6 | Sampaio Correa FE | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 4 | America MG | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)
