Sport Picks
Novorizontino vs Sport Recife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte 
Match Events
41'
41'
Romulo
Assist: Luis Oyama
46'
46'
Sub
Clayson In: Dudu
Out: Clayson
61'
61'
Sub
Nicolas Careca In: Diego Galo
Out: Nicolas Careca
AI Match Summary
Novorizontino in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Recife
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Sport Recife haven't matched Novorizontino's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Novorizontino's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novorizontino | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Sport Recife
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Novorizontino
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Sport Recife
1:3
Jun 24, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Novorizontino
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Novorizontino
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novorizontino Compare
Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Bianqui
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Perotti
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novorizontino 59 / 100
Sport Recife 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novorizontino Sport Recife
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novorizontino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novorizontino scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Sport Recife let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Novorizontino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Novorizontino VS Sport Recife
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Novorizontino
(Home) 08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0 Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1 Cuiaba
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
Sport Recife
(Away) 06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
