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Novyi Rozdil vs Atlet Kiev Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Gulevskyi D.
76' Event
Muzyka Y.
90' Event
Myts V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Novyi Rozdil
25%
Draws
35%
Atlet Kiev
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Novyi Rozdil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atlet Kiev come out ahead of Novyi Rozdil on wins alone.
  • Model gives Novyi Rozdil a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Atlet Kiev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Novyi Rozdil, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Novyi Rozdil Clean Sheet 19%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novyi Rozdil Atlet Kiev
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 7
Losses 0 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.72
Goals Conceded 1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Novyi Rozdil vs Atlet Kiev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novyi Rozdil Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulevskyi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzyka Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Atlet Kiev Compare

Top Goalscorer Myts V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novyi Rozdil 36 / 100
Atlet Kiev 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novyi Rozdil Atlet Kiev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novyi Rozdil scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Atlet Kiev let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Novyi Rozdil remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novyi Rozdil VS Atlet Kiev
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novyi Rozdil

(Home)
09 Sept
Novyi Rozdil
3 : 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka
23 Aug
Novyi Rozdil
2 : 1
Atlet Kiev

Atlet Kiev

(Away)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 3
Atlet Kiev
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets -
FC Chernihiv -
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
TBD -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -