Sport Picks
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Szewczyk F.
50'
50'
Bartkowiak B.
73'
73'
Misztal M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Nowe Skalmierzyce and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nowe Skalmierzyce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol come out ahead of Nowe Skalmierzyce on wins alone.
- Model gives Nowe Skalmierzyce a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 19%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nowe Skalmierzyce | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:1
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Top Goalscorer Szewczyk F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Misztal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nowe Skalmierzyce 76 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nowe Skalmierzyce Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nowe Skalmierzyce found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Nowe Skalmierzyce has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nowe Skalmierzyce VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Home) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
09 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
2 : 0 Lipno Steszew
19 Apr
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
04 Apr
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 1 Zawisza
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Away) 18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
13 May
Notec Czarnkow
2 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
01 May
Wda Swiecie
3 : 2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)