Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jaszczak J.
36' Event
Bartkowski J.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Borucki A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Nowe Skalmierzyce and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Wrzesnia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
44%
Draws
20%
Victoria Wrzesnia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria Wrzesnia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nowe Skalmierzyce have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 17%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nowe Skalmierzyce Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:3
Feb 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaszczak J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Borucki A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nowe Skalmierzyce 36 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nowe Skalmierzyce Victoria Wrzesnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WRZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nowe Skalmierzyce scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Victoria Wrzesnia conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nowe Skalmierzyce stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nowe Skalmierzyce VS Victoria Wrzesnia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nowe Skalmierzyce

(Home)
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Away)
25 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 0
Lipno Steszew
15 Jul
LZS Polonia Golina
3 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
4 : 0
Piast Kobylnica
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 3
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)