Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NSI Runavik vs Toftir

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Premier League Við Løkin, Runavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Przybylski M.
Assist: Obbekjaer D.
45'
Nolsoe B.
63'
Sub
Hestad T. In: Knudsen A.
Out: Hestad T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between NSI Runavik and Toftir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NSI Runavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
NSI Runavik
35%
Draws
10%
Toftir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: NSI Runavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NSI Runavik come out ahead of Toftir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans NSI Runavik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and NSI Runavik have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
NSI Runavik Clean Sheet 68%
Toftir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NSI Runavik Toftir
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.32 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
NSI Runavik vs Toftir
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Toftir vs NSI Runavik
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Toftir vs NSI Runavik
1:3
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Toftir vs NSI Runavik
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
NSI Runavik vs Toftir
11:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NSI Runavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Przybylski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Toftir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NSI Runavik 95 / 100
Toftir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NSI Runavik Toftir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NSI Runavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NSI Runavik scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Toftir has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

NSI Runavik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NSI Runavik VS Toftir
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

NSI Runavik

(Home)
18 Sept
B36 Torshavn
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
13 Sept
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Vikingur
30 Aug
NSI Runavik
3 : 1
AB Argir
23 Aug
Klaksvik
2 : 2
NSI Runavik
16 Aug
NSI Runavik
4 : 2
EB Streymur
Page 1 of 7

Toftir

(Away)
19 Sept
Toftir
2 : 3
EB Streymur
13 Sept
AB Argir
1 : 1
Toftir
30 Aug
B36 Torshavn
1 : 1
Toftir
23 Aug
Toftir
0 : 1
Skala Itrottarfelag
16 Aug
HB Torshavn
2 : 0
Toftir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 NSI Runavik 23 14 6 3 47:26 48
2 Klaksvik 23 12 9 2 45:21 45
3 HB Torshavn 23 12 5 6 44:28 41
4 Vikingur 23 8 11 4 34:27 35
5 B36 Torshavn 23 9 8 6 33:28 35
6 EB Streymur 23 7 5 11 30:38 26
7 AB Argir 23 7 3 13 31:42 24
8 Skala Itrottarfelag 23 5 8 10 25:37 23
9 07 Vestur Sorvagur 23 5 4 14 21:41 19
10 Toftir 23 4 5 14 24:46 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Deild 2027 (Main)