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Ntnui vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fagerthun S.
25' Event
Mohemednur R.
70' Event
Larsen V.

AI Match Summary

Orkla in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orkla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ntnui
33%
Draws
27%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ntnui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Orkla have won more games recently than Ntnui.
  • Win probability leans Ntnui's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ntnui Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntnui Orkla
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Ntnui vs Orkla
1:5
Sep 4, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Ntnui vs Orkla
0:2
Sep 5, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Ntnui vs Orkla
0:0
Aug 8, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Ntnui vs Orkla
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 Division 3 - Group 10
Orkla vs Ntnui
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ntnui Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohemednur R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fagerthun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntnui 38 / 100
Orkla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntnui Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NTN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orkla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Ntnui's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Orkla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ntnui VS Orkla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntnui

(Home)
27 Jun
Herd
2 : 2
Ntnui
20 Jun
Nardo
2 : 0
Ntnui
13 Jun
Ntnui
0 : 1
Aalesund 2
03 Jun
Ntnui
4 : 3
FK Kvik
30 May
Volda
3 : 1
Ntnui
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Orkla

(Away)
27 Jun
Orkla
3 : 5
Molde 2
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
13 Jun
Orkla
2 : 5
Volda
30 May
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Orkla
22 May
Orkla
0 : 2
Melhus
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