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Ntnui vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fagerthun S.
25' Event
Mohemednur R.
70' Event
Larsen V.

AI Match Summary

Orkla in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orkla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ntnui
35%
Draws
30%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Orkla average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Ntnui's 1.41.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ntnui Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntnui Orkla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.24 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Ntnui
3:1
May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Ntnui vs Orkla
1:5
Sep 4, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Ntnui vs Orkla
0:2
Sep 5, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Ntnui vs Orkla
0:0
Aug 8, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Ntnui vs Orkla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ntnui Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohemednur R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fagerthun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntnui 30 / 100
Orkla 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntnui Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orkla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Ntnui's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ntnui stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ntnui VS Orkla
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntnui

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Kvik
0 : 2
Ntnui
12 Sept
Ntnui
4 : 4
Molde 2
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Strindheim
4 : 0
Ntnui
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Orkla

(Away)
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
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