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Ntugasaze vs Blacks Power

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Ntugasaze and Blacks Power finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ntugasaze
15%
Draws
53%
Blacks Power
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Blacks Power carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Blacks Power taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Blacks Power have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 20%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Blacks Power
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Blacks Power
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Big League
Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze
2:1
Jun 8, 2025 Big League
Blacks Power vs Ntugasaze
5:0
Jan 5, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Blacks Power
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 16 / 100
Blacks Power 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Blacks Power

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ntugasaze found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Blacks Power let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ntugasaze remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Blacks Power
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ntugasaze

(Home)
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
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Blacks Power

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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