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Ntugasaze vs Kigezi HomeBoyz

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

Kigezi HomeBoyz in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kigezi HomeBoyz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ntugasaze
6%
Draws
4%
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ntugasaze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ntugasaze at 1.25 per game, Kigezi HomeBoyz at 1.13.
  • Ntugasaze are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 20%
Kigezi HomeBoyz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ntugasaze Kigezi HomeBoyz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Ntugasaze
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Ntugasaze
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ntugasaze 85 / 100
Kigezi HomeBoyz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ntugasaze Kigezi HomeBoyz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NTU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ntugasaze remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ntugasaze found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Kigezi HomeBoyz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kigezi HomeBoyz conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ntugasaze VS Kigezi HomeBoyz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717