Sport Picks
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
Chile
Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillán 
Match Events
35'
35'
Jeraldino I.
45'
45'
Ogaz B.
48'
48'
Gonzalez L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nublense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nublense lately — more wins on the board than U. De Concepcion.
- Nublense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Nublense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nublense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Nublense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nublense Clean Sheet 68%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nublense | U. De Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion vs Nublense
0:1
Jun 25, 2026 Copa Chile
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
4:2
Jun 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
May 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs U. De Concepcion
2:2
Mar 30, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Concepcion vs Nublense
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nublense Compare
Top Goalscorer Jeraldino I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanhueza D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
U. De Concepcion Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nublense 95 / 100
U. De Concepcion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nublense U. De Concepcion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nublense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nublense scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
U. De Concepcion has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nublense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nublense VS U. De Concepcion
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nublense
(Home) 23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2 Nublense
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1 Union La Calera
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2 Nublense
04 Aug
Nublense
1 : 0 Rangers
26 Jul
Nublense
2 : 0 Palestino
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1 Union La Calera
04 Aug
Nublense
1 : 0 Rangers
26 Jul
Nublense
2 : 0 Palestino
09 Jul
Nublense
2 : 1 O Higgins
05 Jul
Nublense
2 : 2 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 3
U. De Concepcion
(Away) 24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1 U. De Concepcion
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 La Serena
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0 U. De Concepcion
04 Aug
U. De Concepcion
1 : 3 Curico Unido
01 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1 A. Italiano
Page 1 of 6
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1 U. De Concepcion
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0 U. De Concepcion
28 Jun
Curico Unido
2 : 2 U. De Concepcion
25 Jun
Nublense
4 : 2 U. De Concepcion
20 Jun
Rangers
2 : 1 U. De Concepcion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Colo Colo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 4 | D. Concepcion | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nublense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 3 | U. De Concepcion | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Higgins | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Limache | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union La Calera | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 8 |
| 4 | La Serena | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
