Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nublense vs Union La Calera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillán
Nublense Logo

Nublense

2 - 1
FT
Union La Calera Logo

Union La Calera

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Valencia S.
Assist: Plaza M.
40'
Gutierrez D.
44' Event
Valencia S.
Assist: Rivera M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nublense in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nublense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Nublense
15%
Draws
59%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nublense lately — more wins on the board than Union La Calera.
  • Union La Calera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nublense Clean Sheet 18%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nublense Union La Calera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Union La Calera
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Nublense
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Nublense
3:0
May 5, 2025 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Union La Calera
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs Union La Calera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nublense Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nublense 23 / 100
Union La Calera 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nublense Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union La Calera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nublense scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Union La Calera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Nublense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nublense VS Union La Calera
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nublense

(Home)
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
12 Sept
Nublense
1 : 3
Everton
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0
Nublense
Page 1 of 6

Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)