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Stadium Background

Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Cardozo E. In: Roldan E.
Out: Cardozo E.
11'
Gagliardi A.
12'
Palazzo B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nueva Chicago
20%
Draws
40%
Agropecuario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Agropecuario lately — more wins on the board than Nueva Chicago.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago Agropecuario
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.69 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario
1:0
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueva Chicago Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Agropecuario Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 41 / 100
Agropecuario 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago Agropecuario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueva Chicago Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agropecuario conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Nueva Chicago stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nueva Chicago's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS Agropecuario
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Agropecuario

(Away)
04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Midland
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)