Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Cardozo E. In: Roldan E.
Out: Cardozo E.
11'
Gagliardi A.
12'
Palazzo B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nueva Chicago
30%
Draws
47%
Agropecuario
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Agropecuario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueva Chicago lately — more wins on the board than Agropecuario.
  • Nueva Chicago are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago Agropecuario
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Agropecuario
1:0
May 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Nueva Chicago
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueva Chicago Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Agropecuario Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 50 / 100
Agropecuario 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago Agropecuario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueva Chicago Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agropecuario conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Nueva Chicago's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nueva Chicago stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS Agropecuario
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
09 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
01 Aug
Nueva Chicago
2 : 1
San Martin T.
25 Jul
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
17 Jul
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Agropecuario
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
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Agropecuario

(Away)
08 Aug
Agropecuario
3 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
02 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
2 : 1
Agropecuario
26 Jul
Agropecuario
2 : 1
San Martin S.J.
17 Jul
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Agropecuario
12 Jul
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Temperley
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 24 14 4 6 28:22 46
2 Deportivo Moron 23 12 5 6 37:22 41
3 Colon Santa Fe 24 10 9 5 29:19 39
4 Almirante Brown 24 10 8 6 19:13 38
5 Godoy Cruz 23 10 7 6 27:20 37
6 Deportivo Madryn 23 9 9 5 30:22 36
7 Ciudad Bolivar 24 8 10 6 21:21 34
8 Los Andes 23 8 9 6 20:11 33
9 CA Estudiantes 24 8 8 8 20:20 32
10 Racing Cordoba 24 8 6 10 23:28 30
11 CA Mitre 24 6 10 8 24:28 28
12 San Miguel 23 5 11 7 17:23 26
13 Defensores de Belgrano 23 5 10 8 16:21 25
14 All Boys 24 4 12 8 14:23 24
15 San Telmo 23 5 8 10 18:24 23
16 Central Norte 23 5 8 10 15:24 23
17 Chaco For Ever 23 5 7 11 21:28 22
18 Acassuso 23 5 6 12 17:28 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 23 11 9 3 23:12 42
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 24 12 5 7 35:29 41
3 Atletico Atlanta 23 12 3 8 29:22 39
4 Midland 23 10 7 6 25:16 37
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 24 10 7 7 26:22 37
6 Temperley 24 9 10 5 24:21 37
7 Atl. Rafaela 24 9 7 8 18:19 34
8 Deportivo Maipu 24 9 5 10 31:26 32
9 San Martin T. 24 7 10 7 22:20 31
10 Colegiales 23 8 6 9 23:23 30
11 Almagro 24 8 6 10 21:27 30
12 Quilmes 24 7 8 9 24:21 29
13 Nueva Chicago 23 7 8 8 20:22 29
14 San Martin S.J. 22 7 7 8 23:23 28
15 Chacarita Juniors 23 7 5 11 18:24 26
16 Agropecuario 24 6 8 10 21:28 26
17 Patronato 23 4 12 7 18:23 24
18 Club Atletico Guemes 23 5 4 14 20:42 19
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)