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Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nueva Chicago host San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Nueva Chicago at 0.62 goals for, 1.03 against; San Martin S.J. at 1.07 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor San Martin S.J. slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward San Martin S.J.. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nueva Chicago
30%
Draws
39%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin S.J. come out ahead of Nueva Chicago on wins alone.
  • Nueva Chicago are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueva Chicago San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
2:1
Aug 16, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
0:0
Apr 6, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueva Chicago 51 / 100
San Martin S.J. 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueva Chicago San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Nueva Chicago scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Nueva Chicago has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nueva Chicago VS San Martin S.J.
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueva Chicago

(Home)
18 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
11 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Nueva Chicago
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
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San Martin S.J.

(Away)
18 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 1
Temperley
11 Oct
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
San Martin S.J.
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)