Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Martinez F.
18' Event
Ovando D.
25' Event
Mejia F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nueve de Octubre and Atletico FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nueve de Octubre
28%
Draws
50%
Atletico FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nueve de Octubre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 21%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre Atletico FC
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ovando D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 24 / 100
Atletico FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre Atletico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Nueve de Octubre remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nueve de Octubre scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Atletico FC conceded in 61% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS Atletico FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
04 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
03 Jun
Atletico FC
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 6

Atletico FC

(Away)
16 Jul
Atletico FC
4 : 1
San Antonio
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
03 Jun
Atletico FC
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7San Antonio1849520:2021
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)