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Numancia vs Burgos CF B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Juancho
51'
Pena W.
51'
Pena W.

AI Match Summary

Numancia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Numancia
20%
Draws
40%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF B haven't matched Numancia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Burgos CF B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Burgos CF B
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Numancia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Juancho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Burgos CF B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 41 / 100
Burgos CF B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Burgos CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Numancia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Burgos CF B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Numancia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Burgos CF B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
15 Aug
Numancia
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF B

(Away)
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
03 May
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0
Burgos CF B
26 Apr
Burgos CF B
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
18 Apr
Atletico Astorga
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
12 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)