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Nuova Gioiese vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Samake B.
69' Event
Balla B.
85' Event
Benkhalqui M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Nuova Gioiese and Trapani finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trapani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nuova Gioiese
20%
Draws
16%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nuova Gioiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trapani come out ahead of Nuova Gioiese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nuova Gioiese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 20%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Trapani
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.52 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Trapani
1:2
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Nuova Gioiese
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Benkhalqui M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balla B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 58 / 100
Trapani 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nuova Gioiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trapani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Trapani has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nuova Gioiese found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Trapani
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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Trapani

(Away)
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)