Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nurnberg II vs Buchbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
von der Hitz J.
22' Event
Kusanovic T.
31' Event
von der Hitz J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Nurnberg II and Buchbach finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nurnberg II
15%
Draws
51%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nurnberg II come out ahead of Buchbach on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nurnberg II a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nurnberg II Clean Sheet 10%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg II Buchbach
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
0:2
May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
8:1
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Nurnberg II
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Nurnberg II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer von der Hitz J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kusanovic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Buchbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbila J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg II 40 / 100
Buchbach 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg II Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nurnberg II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Buchbach conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Nurnberg II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg II VS Buchbach
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg II

(Home)
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
05 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 2
1. FC Schweinfurt
21 Aug
Nurnberg II
3 : 1
Burghausen
14 Aug
Eltersdorf
1 : 1
Nurnberg II
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Buchbach

(Away)
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)