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Nurnberg II vs Buchbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Haas L.
90' Event
Stossberger T.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Nurnberg II and Buchbach finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buchbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nurnberg II
20%
Draws
15%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nurnberg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Buchbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nurnberg II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nurnberg II Clean Sheet 20%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg II Buchbach
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
0:2
May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
8:1
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Nurnberg II
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Nurnberg II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Buchbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Haas L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stossberger T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg II 85 / 100
Buchbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg II Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurnberg II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nurnberg II scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Buchbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Nurnberg II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg II VS Buchbach
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg II

(Home)
17 Oct
Memmingen
1 : 2
Nurnberg II
10 Oct
Ansbach
0 : 1
Nurnberg II
03 Oct
Nurnberg II
3 : 0
Augsburg II
25 Sept
Furth II
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
20 Sept
Munich 1860
2 : 0
Nurnberg II
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Buchbach

(Away)
23 Oct
Buchbach
3 : 3
Burghausen
16 Oct
Illertissen
4 : 0
Buchbach
13 Oct
Buchbach
1 : 4
Augsburg II
10 Oct
Vilzing
1 : 1
Buchbach
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 16 10 3 3 19:9 33
2 Buchbach 16 8 5 3 30:23 29
3 Unterhaching 14 6 7 1 20:11 25
4 Munich 1860 14 6 6 2 29:19 24
5 Illertissen 14 6 5 3 25:16 23
6 Bayreuth 15 7 1 7 29:21 22
7 Vilzing 14 5 6 3 22:21 21
8 Augsburg II 14 6 3 5 25:27 21
9 Vfb Eichstatt 15 6 3 6 18:22 21
10 Burghausen 15 5 5 5 35:28 20
11 Nurnberg II 13 6 1 6 24:18 19
12 Bayern II 13 5 4 4 19:15 19
13 Eltersdorf 15 4 6 5 21:22 18
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 15 4 5 6 20:30 17
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 14 4 3 7 16:27 15
16 Furth II 14 3 4 7 19:23 13
17 Ansbach 14 3 3 8 12:28 12
18 TSV Aubstadt 14 2 4 8 17:24 10
19 Landsberg 15 1 6 8 14:30 9
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)