Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nurnberg vs Magdeburg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lubach R.
Assist: Koudossou H.
54'
Bockhorn H.
56'
Lubach R.

AI Match Summary

Nurnberg in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nurnberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nurnberg
20%
Draws
35%
Magdeburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Magdeburg haven't matched Nurnberg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg Magdeburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.33 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Magdeburg
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Nurnberg
3:0
Feb 8, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Nurnberg
3:4
Aug 31, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Magdeburg
0:4
Mar 9, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Nurnberg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lubach R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Magdeburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg 34 / 100
Magdeburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg Magdeburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magdeburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nurnberg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nurnberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Magdeburg let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg VS Magdeburg
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg

(Home)
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
FC Viktoria Koln
1 : 2
Nurnberg
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Magdeburg

(Away)
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Magdeburg
3 : 0
Kaiserslautern
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
23 Aug
Bahlinger
0 : 4
Magdeburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)