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NWS Spirit vs St. George City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Christie Park
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Yoshida S.
86' Event
Mason T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between NWS Spirit and St. George City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NWS Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
NWS Spirit
22%
Draws
18%
St. George City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • NWS Spirit carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans NWS Spirit's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 20%
St. George City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NWS Spirit St. George City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs NWS Spirit
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs St. George City
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs NWS Spirit
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs St. George City
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs NWS Spirit
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NWS Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mason T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. George City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NWS Spirit 58 / 100
St. George City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NWS Spirit St. George City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

NWS Spirit scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

St. George City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: NWS Spirit stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NWS Spirit VS St. George City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2487925:2931
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918