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NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Christie Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lual A.
45' Event
Morrison O.
49' Event
Joshua C.

AI Match Summary

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Western Sydney Wanderers U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
NWS Spirit
40%
Draws
29%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • NWS Spirit have won more games recently than Western Sydney Wanderers U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 14%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NWS Spirit Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs NWS Spirit
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs NWS Spirit
3:3
May 13, 2023 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:0
May 28, 2022 NSW League One
NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NWS Spirit Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lual A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morrison O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NWS Spirit 31 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NWS Spirit Western Sydney Wanderers U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

NWS Spirit scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: NWS Spirit stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NWS Spirit VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NWS Spirit

(Home)
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1
NWS Spirit
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0
Wollongong
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Western Sydney Wanderers U21

(Away)
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5
APIA Leichhardt
12 Jul
Marconi Stallions
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
04 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
Sydney Olympic
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3
Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)