Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nykobing vs Vanlose

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Lollands Bank Park, Nykobing Falster
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ogude E.
7' Event
Jakobsen O.
26' Event
Dahl M.

AI Match Summary

Nykobing in this 3rd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nykobing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nykobing
30%
Draws
32%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nykobing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Nykobing have won more games recently than Vanlose.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nykobing have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nykobing Clean Sheet 20%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykobing Vanlose
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 21 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 2.54 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Vanlose vs Nykobing
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 3rd Division
Nykobing vs Vanlose
5:1
May 9, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Nykobing
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 3rd Division
Nykobing vs Vanlose
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Nykobing
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nykobing Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahl M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogude E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Vanlose Compare

Top Goalscorer Allentoft P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykobing 32 / 100
Vanlose 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykobing Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nykobing scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nykobing has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vanlose has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nykobing VS Vanlose
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nykobing

(Home)
08 Aug
Skive
2 : 3
Nykobing
04 Aug
Nykobing
2 : 0
Boldklubben 1893
31 Jul
Nykobing
2 : 2
Fremad Amager
18 Jul
Sundby
1 : 3
Nykobing
11 Jul
Vanlose
1 : 2
Nykobing
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Vanlose

(Away)
08 Aug
Vanlose
3 : 0
Naesby
04 Aug
Koge Nord
1 : 4
Vanlose
31 Jul
Helsingor
2 : 2
Vanlose
22 Jul
Glostrup FK
1 : 2
Vanlose
18 Jul
Vanlose
0 : 0
BK Frem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)