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Nykopings vs Farsta

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ghozzi E.
31' Event
Berggren L.
51' Event
Ghozzi E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Nykopings and Farsta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nykopings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nykopings
15%
Draws
54%
Farsta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Farsta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Farsta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 10%
Farsta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykopings Farsta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Nykopings
3:0
May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Farsta
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Farsta
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Nykopings
3:2
Aug 5, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Nykopings
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghozzi E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berggren L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Farsta Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykopings 34 / 100
Farsta 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykopings Farsta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farsta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Nykopings scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Farsta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Nykopings has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nykopings VS Farsta
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nykopings

(Home)
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Lindo FF
0 : 3
Nykopings
29 Aug
Nykopings
1 : 3
Ragsved
22 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2
Nykopings
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Farsta

(Away)
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
06 Sept
Forward
1 : 2
Farsta
28 Aug
Farsta
4 : 1
Nacka FC
23 Aug
Orebro Syrianska
0 : 2
Farsta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 21 13 4 4 47:32 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 47:25 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42:26 42
4 Nykopings 22 12 3 7 37:22 39
5 Haninge 21 11 3 7 49:38 36
6 Smedby 22 10 5 7 39:30 35
7 Ragsved 22 10 5 7 40:34 35
8 Fittja IF 22 10 3 9 35:34 33
9 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Orebro Syrianska 22 8 2 12 23:25 26
11 Nacka FC 22 6 3 13 23:40 21
12 Syrianska 21 5 5 11 30:48 20
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 27:43 17
14 Eker Orebro 21 4 3 14 22:60 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)