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Nykopings vs Karlslund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nykopings host Karlslund in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Karlslund have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Nykopings have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Nykopings have won 5 to Karlslund's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Nykopings. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nykopings
30%
Draws
31%
Karlslund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Karlslund haven't matched Nykopings's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nykopings's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nykopings have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 15%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykopings Karlslund
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:2
May 7, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Karlslund
4:2
Aug 21, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Karlslund
2:0
Jul 11, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Nykopings
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykopings 48 / 100
Karlslund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykopings Karlslund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nykopings scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Karlslund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Nykopings remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nykopings VS Karlslund
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nykopings

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
26 Sept
Nykopings
1 : 0
Syrianska
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Lindo FF
0 : 3
Nykopings
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Karlslund

(Away)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
27 Sept
Karlslund
2 : 2
Forward
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)