Sport Picks
Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Ternopilsky Misky Stadion, Ternopil 
Match Events
22'
22'
Palamarchuk I.
49'
49'
Gerega O.
50'
50'
Baydal A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Nyva Ternopil and Vorskla Poltava finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nyva Ternopil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nyva Ternopil come out ahead of Vorskla Poltava on wins alone.
- Nyva Ternopil are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Vorskla Poltava here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nyva Ternopil | Vorskla Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Nyva Ternopil
2:0
Aug 23, 2014 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava
1:5
Mar 31, 2001 Premier League
Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava
1:3
Oct 14, 2000 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nyva Ternopil Compare
Top Goalscorer Palamarchuk I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.37
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nyva Ternopil 86 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nyva Ternopil Vorskla Poltava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vorskla Poltava let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Nyva Ternopil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Nyva Ternopil scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nyva Ternopil VS Vorskla Poltava
0.88 Goals Scored 0.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nyva Ternopil
(Home) 27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4 Bukovyna
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
09 May
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 3
Vorskla Poltava
(Away) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
26 Apr
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Vorskla Poltava
12 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
04 Apr
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
