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Nyva Vinnytsya vs FC Mariupol

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Club Friendly 2024
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Match Events

3' Event
10' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Nyva Vinnytsya and FC Mariupol finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Vinnytsya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nyva Vinnytsya
33%
Draws
40%
FC Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nyva Vinnytsya come out ahead of FC Mariupol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Mariupol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 20%
FC Mariupol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya FC Mariupol
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Nyva Vinnytsya vs FC Mariupol
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 28 / 100
FC Mariupol 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya FC Mariupol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mariupol has conceded goals in 80% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Nyva Vinnytsya scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Nyva Vinnytsya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%