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Nyva Vinnytsya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyva Vinnytsya host FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi in the Druha Liga. This one's hard to separate. FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Nyva Vinnytsya have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Nyva Vinnytsya have won 0 to FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Nyva Vinnytsya. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nyva Vinnytsya
15%
Draws
40%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nyva Vinnytsya lately — more wins on the board than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
  • Nyva Vinnytsya are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 16%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Druha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:1
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:3
May 1, 2021 Druha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:0
Oct 17, 2020 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:2
Apr 4, 2020 Druha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 41 / 100
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Vinnytsya's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nyva Vinnytsya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2
FC Vilkhivtsi
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 8 3 0 5 8:15 9
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 8 3 2 3 5:6 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)