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Nzoia Sugar vs Luanda Villa

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nzoia Sugar
33%
Draws
27%
Luanda Villa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nzoia Sugar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nzoia Sugar have won more games recently than Luanda Villa.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Nzoia Sugar taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Nzoia Sugar Clean Sheet 68%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzoia Sugar Luanda Villa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs Luanda Villa
3:3
Dec 17, 2025 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Nzoia Sugar
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs Luanda Villa
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Nzoia Sugar
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzoia Sugar 50 / 100
Luanda Villa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzoia Sugar Luanda Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NZO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luanda Villa conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Luanda Villa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nzoia Sugar scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nzoia Sugar VS Luanda Villa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzoia Sugar

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

Luanda Villa

(Away)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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