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O Elvas CAD vs Lusitano GC

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Aguas M.
83' Event
Isnaba G.

AI Match Summary

O Elvas CAD host Lusitano GC in the Club Friendly 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. O Elvas CAD have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Lusitano GC's 1.13 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, O Elvas CAD have won 0 to Lusitano GC's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Lusitano GC to edge this. Lusitano GC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
O Elvas CAD
39%
Draws
30%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusitano GC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to O Elvas CAD.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Lusitano GC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
O Elvas CAD vs Lusitano GC
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Lusitano GC vs O Elvas CAD
2:1
May 11, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
O Elvas CAD vs Lusitano GC
1:4
Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs O Elvas CAD
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Lusitano GC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Elvas CAD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lusitano GC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isnaba G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 32 / 100
Lusitano GC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Lusitano GC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Elvas CAD scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lusitano GC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

O Elvas CAD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lusitano GC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS Lusitano GC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%