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O Elvas CAD vs Oriental Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between O Elvas CAD and Oriental finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
O Elvas CAD
20%
Draws
24%
Oriental
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • O Elvas CAD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • O Elvas CAD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%
Oriental Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Oriental
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.44 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Oriental
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs O Elvas CAD
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs O Elvas CAD
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Oriental
1:1
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
O Elvas CAD vs Oriental
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 95 / 100
Oriental 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Oriental

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Elvas CAD scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Oriental's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: O Elvas CAD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS Oriental
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O Elvas CAD

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
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Oriental

(Away)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)