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O Elvas CAD vs Uniao Da Serra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

O Elvas CAD host Uniao Da Serra in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Uniao Da Serra have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while O Elvas CAD have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.46. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Uniao Da Serra. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
O Elvas CAD
20%
Draws
38%
Uniao Da Serra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • O Elvas CAD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans O Elvas CAD's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 17%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Elvas CAD Uniao Da Serra
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Elvas CAD 57 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Elvas CAD Uniao Da Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Elvas CAD's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Uniao Da Serra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

O Elvas CAD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

O Elvas CAD VS Uniao Da Serra
2 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

O Elvas CAD

(Home)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 8

Uniao Da Serra

(Away)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0
Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 O Elvas CAD 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
5 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Alverca B 4 1 0 3 6:4 3
12 Sertanense 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
13 Fazendense 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)