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O Higgins vs Boca Juniors

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
1 - 1
12:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Villa S. In: Flores L.
Out: Villa S.
63'
Sub
Rabello B. In: Yanez B.
Out: Rabello B.
65'
Lozano L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
O Higgins
30%
Draws
37%
Boca Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • O Higgins average 1.36 goals a game right now, well clear of Boca Juniors's 1.3.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 68%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Higgins Boca Juniors
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
O Higgins vs Boca Juniors
1:1
Jul 24, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Boca Juniors vs O Higgins
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Boca Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Higgins 41 / 100
Boca Juniors 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Higgins Boca Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Higgins's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: O Higgins stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Boca Juniors has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

O Higgins VS Boca Juniors
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O Higgins

(Home)
02 Aug
La Serena
1 : 2
O Higgins
31 Jul
O Higgins
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
27 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
O Higgins
24 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
O Higgins
13 Jul
O Higgins
2 : 0
Nublense
Page 1 of 6

Boca Juniors

(Away)
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2
Boca Juniors
31 Jul
O Higgins
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
26 Jul
Deportivo Riestra
3 : 0
Boca Juniors
24 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
O Higgins
17 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors -
Recoleta -
Bolivar -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe -
River Plate -
Vasco -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Bragantino -
Atletico-MG -
Santos -
Macara -
Tigre -
Montevideo City -
Cienciano -
Botafogo RJ -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -