Sport Picks

Stadium Background

O Higgins vs Boston River

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sarrafiore M.
46'
Sub
Perez F. In: Munoa F.
Out: Perez F.
46'
Dafonte F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
O Higgins
15%
Draws
46%
Boston River
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston River

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • O Higgins carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans O Higgins's way, sitting at 36%.
  • O Higgins have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor O Higgins, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 17%
Boston River Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Higgins Boston River
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Boston River vs O Higgins
3:2
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
O Higgins vs Boston River
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarrafiore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Boston River Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Higgins 36 / 100
Boston River 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Higgins Boston River

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston River's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

O Higgins's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

O Higgins has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

O Higgins VS Boston River
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O Higgins

(Home)
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3
O Higgins
23 Aug
O Higgins
0 : 1
Palestino
Page 1 of 7

Boston River

(Away)
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0
Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1
Boston River
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1
CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)