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O Higgins vs Deportes Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Castillo A.
Assist: Bou W.
20'
Robledo A.
25'
Romero N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
O Higgins
15%
Draws
21%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Higgins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Deportes Santa Cruz haven't matched O Higgins's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans O Higgins's way, sitting at 40%.
  • O Higgins have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor O Higgins, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and O Higgins have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Higgins Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs O Higgins
1:3
Sep 24, 2026 Copa Chile
O Higgins vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
O Higgins vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
Jan 15, 2022 Club Friendly
O Higgins vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
Jun 12, 2019 Copa Chile
O Higgins vs Deportes Santa Cruz
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yanez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Brito P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Higgins 40 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Higgins Deportes Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Higgins Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Higgins scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Deportes Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

O Higgins went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

O Higgins VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O Higgins

(Home)
04 Oct
O Higgins
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
30 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
O Higgins
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -