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O. Ljubljana vs Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

O. Ljubljana host Celje in the Prva liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: O. Ljubljana at 1.26 goals for, 1.07 against; Celje at 1.69 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, O. Ljubljana have won 2 to Celje's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.69) point toward Celje. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
O. Ljubljana
20%
Draws
23%
Celje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Celje have won more games recently than O. Ljubljana.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on O. Ljubljana taking it.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 20%
Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Celje
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs O. Ljubljana
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs O. Ljubljana
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Celje
3:1
Dec 4, 2025 Slovenian Cup
O. Ljubljana vs Celje
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs O. Ljubljana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 85 / 100
Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O. Ljubljana's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Celje let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: O. Ljubljana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

O. Ljubljana VS Celje
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

O. Ljubljana

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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Celje

(Away)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)