Sport Picks
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Slovenia
Prva liga Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana 
Match Events
32'
32'
Urbancic J.
45'
45'
Urbancic J.
Assist: Mitrovski D.
51'
51'
Bumbic C.
AI Match Summary
The Prva liga game between O. Ljubljana and Maribor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and O. Ljubljana come out ahead of Maribor on wins alone.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on O. Ljubljana taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 68%
Maribor Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | O. Ljubljana | Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor
1:1
May 9, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs O. Ljubljana
0:3
Mar 8, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs O. Ljubljana
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
O. Ljubljana Compare
Top Goalscorer Urbancic J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Maribor Compare
Top Goalscorer Zahovic L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
O. Ljubljana 50 / 100
Maribor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
O. Ljubljana Maribor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
O. Ljubljana found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Maribor has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
O. Ljubljana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
O. Ljubljana VS Maribor
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
O. Ljubljana
(Home) 10 Oct
O. Ljubljana
3 : 3 Mura
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1 Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1 O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3 O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0 Grosuplje
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
O. Ljubljana
3 : 3 Mura
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1 Slaven Belupo
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0 Grosuplje
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0 Nafta
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1 Maribor
Page 1 of 4
Maribor
(Away) 28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1 HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2 Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3 Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1 Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3 Maribor
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3 Maribor
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3 Maribor
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1 Maribor
04 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1 Maribor
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1 Maribor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Koper | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Bravo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 5 | O. Ljubljana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Aluminij | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Nafta | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Grosuplje | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | 6 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)
