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O. Ljubljana vs Mura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

O. Ljubljana host Mura in the Prva liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. O. Ljubljana have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Mura's 1.08 scored and 1.85 conceded. Head-to-head, O. Ljubljana have won 3 to Mura's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.81) back O. Ljubljana to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
O. Ljubljana
30%
Draws
12%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mura haven't matched O. Ljubljana's recent run of results.
  • Model gives O. Ljubljana a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 68%
Mura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Mura
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Mura
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Mura
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 95 / 100
Mura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O. Ljubljana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

O. Ljubljana scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

O. Ljubljana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mura lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

O. Ljubljana VS Mura
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

O. Ljubljana

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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Mura

(Away)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)