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O. Ljubljana vs Primorje

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Stadion Stozice
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kojic D.
Assist: Marin A.
6'
Bameyi D.
24'
Celhaka J.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga 2025/2026 game between O. Ljubljana and Primorje finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward O. Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
O. Ljubljana
6%
Draws
4%
Primorje
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and O. Ljubljana come out ahead of Primorje on wins alone.
  • Model gives O. Ljubljana a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors O. Ljubljana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 20%
Primorje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O. Ljubljana Primorje
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.88 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Primorje
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Prva liga
Primorje vs O. Ljubljana
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Primorje
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs O. Ljubljana
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Prva liga
Primorje vs O. Ljubljana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O. Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Kojic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitrovski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Primorje Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O. Ljubljana 85 / 100
Primorje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O. Ljubljana Primorje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Primorje conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

O. Ljubljana found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Primorje registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

O. Ljubljana VS Primorje
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Celje34235685:3274
2Koper34207771:4367
3Bravo341951062:5162
4O. Ljubljana341671150:4055
5Maribor341581157:4353
6Radomlje341361550:6345
7Aluminij341061842:6136
8Mura34871935:5531
9Primorje34642431:7422
10Domzale18331217:3812