Sport Picks
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL Championship Laney College Football Stadium, Oakland, CA 
Match Events
15'
15'
Paul I.
45'
45'
Jacquesson B.
Assist: Garcia D.
49'
49'
Elliot Q.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Oakland Roots and Monterey Bay finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oakland Roots
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Oakland Roots carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Oakland Roots taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 20%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 USL Cup
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 USL Cup
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oakland Roots Compare
Top Goalscorer Jacquesson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Monterey Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Paul I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oakland Roots 40 / 100
Monterey Bay 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oakland Roots Monterey Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterey Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Oakland Roots scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Oakland Roots went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oakland Roots VS Monterey Bay
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oakland Roots
(Home) 04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
02 Aug
Oakland Roots
0 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 3
Monterey Bay
(Away) 04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
06 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
