Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC

USA USA

USL Championship Laney College Football Stadium, Oakland, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Bravo J. In: Kiil J.
Out: Bravo J.
47' Event
Bunbury M.
Assist: Hegardt C.
53'
Sub
Doghman R. In: Palomino M.
Out: Doghman R.

AI Match Summary

Orange County SC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orange County SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oakland Roots
30%
Draws
23%
Orange County SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Orange County SC have won more games recently than Oakland Roots.
  • Win probability leans Oakland Roots's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 68%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakland Roots Orange County SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
1:1
May 24, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oakland Roots Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Orange County SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunbury M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakland Roots 95 / 100
Orange County SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakland Roots Orange County SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakland Roots's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Orange County SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Oakland Roots remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oakland Roots VS Orange County SC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oakland Roots

(Home)
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6

Orange County SC

(Away)
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)