Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Laney College Football Stadium

Sacramento Republic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oakland Roots play Sacramento Republic in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oakland Roots averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Sacramento Republic averaged 1.26 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Oakland Roots won 0, Sacramento Republic won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Oakland Roots and 1.13 for Sacramento Republic. This points to a Sacramento Republic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Oakland Roots

35%

Draws

36%

Sacramento Republic

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sacramento Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Oakland Roots picked up more points recently compared to Sacramento Republic.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 21%

Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oakland Roots	Sacramento Republic
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	9	12
Draws	11	5
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.67	1.26
Goals Conceded	1.67	0.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 USL Cup

Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:3

May 4, 2025 USL Championship

Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly

Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oakland Roots Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sacramento Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Malango M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakland Roots 30 / 100

Sacramento Republic 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oakland Roots Sacramento Republic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sacramento Republic or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oakland Roots attacking → ← attacking Sacramento Republic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakland Roots scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sacramento Republic let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Oakland Roots went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sacramento Republic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 41

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Spokane Velocity	4	3	1	6:6	9
2	Sacramento Republic	4	3	1	7:3	8
3	Athletic Club Boise	4	3	1	9:6	8
4	Oakland Roots	4	1	3	4:6	4
5	Las Vegas Lights	4	1	3	4:7	4
6	Monterey Bay	4	1	3	8:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	New Mexico	4	3	1	8:5	9
3	El Paso Locomotive	4	2	2	5:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	4	2	2	5:6	6
5	Phoenix Rising	4	1	3	3:8	3
6	Orange County SC	4	0	4	3:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	4	4	0	6:1	11
2	Birmingham Legion	4	3	1	8:3	9
3	One Knoxville	4	3	1	6:4	6
4	FC Tulsa	4	1	3	4:7	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	4	1	3	2:6	4
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	4	0	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	4	4	0	13:4	11
2	Detroit City	4	2	2	4:4	8
3	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
4	Lexington	4	2	2	8:8	6
5	Union Omaha	4	2	2	10:12	6
6	Forward Madison	4	1	3	6:10	3
7	Fort Wayne	4	0	4	6:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	4	3	1	8:3	10
2	Rhode Island	4	3	1	7:3	7
3	Brooklyn FC	4	2	2	9:5	7
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	4	2	2	7:10	6
5	New York Cosmos	4	1	3	5:11	4
6	Westchester SC	4	1	3	6:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	4	4	0	8:4	10
2	Charleston	4	3	1	9:4	9
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4	2	2	6:3	8
4	Greenville Triumph	4	1	3	4:7	3
5	Loudoun United	4	1	3	4:7	3
6	Richmond Kickers	4	1	3	3:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	Miami FC	4	3	1	11:5	9
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	4	1	3	2:9	3
5	FC Naples	4	1	3	3:9	2