Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oberena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oberena lately — more wins on the board than CD Aluvion.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Oberena taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Oberena Clean Sheet 15%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oberena | CD Aluvion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Oberena
2:5
Nov 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs CD Aluvion
1:1
Feb 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs CD Aluvion
2:2
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Oberena
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Oberena
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oberena 84 / 100
CD Aluvion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oberena CD Aluvion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oberena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Aluvion let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Oberena scored in 69% of their last 36 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Oberena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oberena VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Oberena
(Home) 09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1 Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1 Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1 Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0 Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1 Oberena
Page 1 of 8
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1 Txantrea
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0 Cirbonero
05 Apr
Oberena
0 : 1 Subiza
21 Mar
Oberena
1 : 3 CD Beti Onak
08 Mar
Oberena
2 : 2 CD Ardoi
Page 1 of 4
CD Aluvion
(Away) 12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0 CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3 Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1 CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6 Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1 CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0 CD Aluvion
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1 CD Aluvion
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1 CD Aluvion
01 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0 CD Aluvion
18 Mar
Izarra
2 : 0 CD Aluvion
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tudelano | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 87:24 | 90 |
| 2 | Izarra | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 78:24 | 83 |
| 3 | Valle Egues | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57:46 | 66 |
| 4 | Mutilvera | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 60:34 | 66 |
| 5 | Txantrea | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 58:35 | 65 |
| 6 | Iruna | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 52:36 | 61 |
| 7 | AD San Juan | 38 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 38:30 | 56 |
| 8 | Cirbonero | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 51:46 | 53 |
| 9 | CD Lourdes | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:56 | 53 |
| 10 | Oberena | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:39 | 52 |
| 11 | Pamplona | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 51:51 | 49 |
| 12 | Murchante | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 48:57 | 45 |
| 13 | Huarte | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:50 | 44 |
| 14 | Aoiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 37:49 | 42 |
| 15 | CD Aluvion | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 34:44 | 41 |
| 16 | Idoya | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 51:78 | 41 |
| 17 | CD Ardoi | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 29:57 | 38 |
| 18 | Lagun Artea | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 40:79 | 37 |
| 19 | CD River Ega | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 26:73 | 27 |
| 20 | Pena Azagresa | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34:62 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
