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Oberena vs Mendi

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2008/2009 game between Oberena and Mendi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Oberena
30%
Draws
31%
Mendi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oberena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oberena come out ahead of Mendi on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Oberena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Oberena Clean Sheet 15%
Mendi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberena Mendi
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Mendi
1:0
Oct 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mendi vs Oberena
2:2
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Mendi
1:1
Oct 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mendi vs Oberena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberena 35 / 100
Mendi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberena Mendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mendi conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Oberena found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Oberena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oberena VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberena

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 8

Mendi

(Away)
14 May
Mendi
1 : 1
Iruna
08 May
Cortes
2 : 0
Mendi
30 Apr
Mendi
3 : 5
CD River Ega
22 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 3
Mendi
16 Apr
Mendi
0 : 1
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 40 28 8 4 87:29 92
2 Pena 40 27 8 5 82:33 89
3 Tudelano 40 20 13 7 68:35 73
4 Mutilvera 40 21 10 9 72:40 73
5 AD San Juan 40 20 10 10 65:41 70
6 Iruna 40 19 10 11 62:44 67
7 Cirbonero 40 16 12 12 50:45 60
8 Valle Egues 40 17 9 14 58:52 60
9 Huarte 40 13 14 13 52:44 53
10 CD Lourdes 40 14 10 16 46:56 52
11 Aoiz 40 12 12 16 48:54 48
12 Txantrea 40 11 14 15 46:52 47
13 CD Aluvion 40 13 8 19 53:80 47
14 Oberena 40 14 5 21 51:63 47
15 CD River Ega 40 13 8 19 44:62 47
16 Pena Azagresa 40 13 5 22 50:75 44
17 Murchante 40 10 13 17 38:59 43
18 Idoya 40 12 7 21 41:59 43
19 CD Ardoi 40 8 17 15 48:59 41
20 Lagunak 40 11 4 25 39:71 37
21 Mendi 40 4 11 25 32:79 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)