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Oberkorn vs Mertert/Wasserbillig Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019 Stade Municipal, Oberkorn
Oberkorn Logo

Oberkorn

1 - 5
FT
Mertert/Wasserbillig Logo

Mertert/Wasserbillig

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Mertert/Wasserbillig advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oberkorn
15%
Draws
57%
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mertert/Wasserbillig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mertert/Wasserbillig come out ahead of Oberkorn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mertert/Wasserbillig a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Mertert/Wasserbillig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mertert/Wasserbillig, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oberkorn Clean Sheet 10%
Mertert/Wasserbillig Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberkorn Mertert/Wasserbillig
Matches Played 18 23
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Oberkorn vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
1:5
Mar 17, 2010 Luxembourg Cup
Mertert/Wasserbillig vs Oberkorn
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberkorn 18 / 100
Mertert/Wasserbillig 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberkorn Mertert/Wasserbillig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mertert/Wasserbillig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mertert/Wasserbillig has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Oberkorn scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.

Difficult form: Mertert/Wasserbillig registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberkorn VS Mertert/Wasserbillig
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberkorn

(Home)
19 Sept
Oberkorn
0 : 3
Hesperange
06 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
Oberkorn
1 : 4
Lorentzweiler
03 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 4
Dudelange
18 Oct
Oberkorn
2 : 1
Esch
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Mertert/Wasserbillig

(Away)
06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3
Schifflange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
10 Nov
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 2
Dudelange
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dudelange 7
Kehlen 1
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
US Sandweiler 4
CS Bourscheid 2
Excelsior Grevels 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Fola 7
Differdange 2
FF Norden 1
Bettembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Schieren 3
FC Orania Vianden 0
Mondorf 7
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 4
Jeunesse Biwer 0
Schifflange 1
FC Mamer 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Diekirch 2
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 7
Luxembourg City 4
Echternach 0
Syra Mensdorf 2
Erpeldange 3
Hostert 4
Lintgen 0
US Feulen 1
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Oberkorn 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 2
Koeppchen 4
Alliance Aischdall 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 6
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
CS Sanem 1
Union Tetange 3
FC Rodange 91 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 1
UNA Strassen 6
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 4
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Mondercange 0
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
Kaerjeng 6
Cebra 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Ettelbruck 10
1/16-finals
Dudelange 6
US Sandweiler 0
CS Bourscheid 1
Fola 16
Differdange 3
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 1
Mondorf 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Canach 0
Bissen 2
Luxembourg City 6
Erpeldange 2
Hostert 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Koeppchen 1
Alliance Aischdall 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 2
Union Tetange 1
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 4
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 1
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kaerjeng 0
Cebra 0
Ettelbruck 2
1/8-finals
Dudelange 2
Fola 1
Differdange 1
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
Bissen 0
Luxembourg City 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Sporting Bertrange 1
Wiltz 0
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 2
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
Ettelbruck 1
Quarter-finals
Dudelange 3
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Victoria Rosport 0
UNA Strassen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Semi-finals
Dudelange 3
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Ettelbruck 3
Final
Dudelange 5
Ettelbruck 0