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Oberneuland vs ESC Geestemunde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
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AI Match Summary

ESC Geestemunde in this Oberliga Bremen matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored ESC Geestemunde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Oberneuland
20%
Draws
80%
ESC Geestemunde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oberneuland haven't matched ESC Geestemunde's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on ESC Geestemunde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • ESC Geestemunde have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Oberneuland Clean Sheet 10%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberneuland ESC Geestemunde
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 2.06 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Oberneuland vs ESC Geestemunde
1:5
May 5, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Oberneuland
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Oberneuland vs ESC Geestemunde
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Oberneuland vs ESC Geestemunde
2:2
Aug 25, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Oberneuland
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberneuland 10 / 100
ESC Geestemunde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberneuland ESC Geestemunde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Geestemunde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Oberneuland's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Difficult form: ESC Geestemunde registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberneuland VS ESC Geestemunde
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
3.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberneuland

(Home)
09 Oct
Oberneuland
1 : 5
ESC Geestemunde
26 Sept
Blumenthaler
2 : 0
Oberneuland
23 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 6
Hemelingen
18 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 3
Vatan Bremen
11 Sept
OSC Bremerhaven
12 : 0
Oberneuland
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ESC Geestemunde

(Away)
09 Oct
Oberneuland
1 : 5
ESC Geestemunde
27 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
3 : 3
Brinkumer
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
4 Brinkumer 8 6 1 1 24:9 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
8 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
9 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
10 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
11 ESC Geestemunde 8 2 3 3 20:24 9
12 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 14:21 9
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 7:33 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)